Papers

Search icon
preloader results

Risk Preferences and the Macro Announcement Premium

Uploaded: Jan 6, 2017

Hengjie Ai, Ravi Bansal, Ravi Bansal

The paper develops a theory for equity premium around macroeconomic announcements. Stock returns realized around pre-scheduled macroeconomic announcements, such as the employment report and the FOMC statements, account for 55% of the market equity premium during the 1961-2014 period, and...

A Dynamic Model of Optimal Creditor Dispersion

Uploaded: Dec 30, 2016

Hongda Zhong

Firms often choose to raise capital from multiple creditors even though doing so may lead to inefficient liquidation caused by coordination failure. Potential coordination failure can, however, improve a firm’s incentive to repay its debt, thus increasing its debt capacity....

Credit Ratings: Strategic Issuer Disclosure and Optimal Screening

Uploaded: Dec 28, 2016

Uday Rajan

We study a model in which an issuer can manipulate information obtained by a credit rating agency (CRA) seeking to screen and rate its financial claim. Better CRA screening leads to a lower probability of obtaining a high rating but...

Alternating-offer Bargaining with the Global Games Information Structure

Uploaded: Dec 28, 2016

Anton Tsoy

This paper studies frequent-offer limits of perfect Bayesian equilibria in the alternating-offer bilateral bargaining model with private correlated values. The correlation of values is modeled via the global games information structure: values depend on the unobserved quality of the object...

Contracting on Credit Ratings: Adding Value to Public Information

Uploaded: Dec 28, 2016

Uday Rajan

We provide a novel interpretation of the role of credit ratings when contracts between investors and portfolio managers are incomplete. In our model, a credit rating on a bond provides a verifiable signal about an unverifiable state. We show that...

Bank Resolution and the Structure of Global Banks

Uploaded: Dec 14, 2016

Martin Oehmke

A theory framework to assess how global, too-big-to-fail banks can be successfully resolved by national regulators.