Upcoming FTG Events
25
Sep
35th Meeting at Carnegie Mellon University (Fall 2026)
From: September 25, 2026 - To: September 26, 2026
Carnegie Mellon University
The 35th FTG Member Meeting will take place at Carnegie Mellon University on September 25–26, 2026. The local...
10
Dec
3rd Asian FTG Conference
From: December 10, 2026 - To: December 11, 2026
Hong Kong University
The 3rd Annual Finance Theory Group Winter Conference will be held at The University of Hong Kong on...
07
May
36th Meeting at UT Dallas (Spring 2027)
Featured Papers
We develop a dynamic asset pricing model of cryptocurrencies/tokens that allows users to conduct peer-to-peer transactions on digital platforms. The equilibrium value of tokens is determined by aggregating heterogeneous users' transactional demand rather than discounting cash flows, as is done in standard valuation models. Endogenous platform adoption builds on user...
In a dynamic model of large traders who manage inventory risk, we show that a daily market closure coordinates liquidity. This coordination of liquidity can improve allocative efficiency relative to 24/7 trade, fully offsetting the costs of the closure. Some length of closure is always better than 24/7 trade. A...
Using a backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) framework, we examine the principal-agent problem in a finite-horizon continuous-time setting where the agent’s effort is a continuous choice, and the principal can impose non-pecuniary punishments. We show that the agent’s optimal incentive scheme, dependent on time and the firm’s state, can be...
Finance Theory Insights
Finance Theory Insights
Issue 9
Unintended Equilibrium Consequences: Sometimes It’s a Whack-a-Mole Game
This issue of FTG Insights show that financial regulation and innovation often reshape incentives and constraints in ways that generate powerful equilibrium feedback effects. Specifically, mechanisms intended to promote stability, inclusion, or safety can improve outcomes along one dimension while simultaneously creating new vulnerabilities elsewhere in the financial system.
The first two columns explore how new financial frictions emerge when technology and regulation reshape the balance sheets of intermediaries. “When the Marketplace Becomes the Lender” examines the rapid rise of bigtech lending platforms, showing that their close integration with merchants’ marketplace activity gives them a powerful enforcement advantage over traditional banks. While this expands credit access for underserved borrowers, it also induces adverse selection in bank lending and can perversely lead banks to ration credit for intermediate-risk firms. “When Deposits Become a Burden” studies a parallel tension within the banking sector itself. Deposits are traditionally viewed as cheap and stable funding, yet when equity capital is scarce and leverage constraints bind, abundant deposits can become a liability rather than an asset. Banks may respond by cutting lending, hoarding safe assets, or reducing deposit rates, helping explain why deposit inflows during the pandemic coincided with weaker credit expansion. Together, these two columns highlight a broader lesson: financial innovations and regulatory constraints often generate unintended equilibrium effects, where mechanisms that improve access to funding in one dimension can tighten credit conditions in another.
The last two columns focus on how regulation and market design can produce unintended consequences in financial markets. “Are Stress Tests Actually Useful?” argues that the value of stress tests depends critically on what regulators plan to do with the information they reveal. If regulators can only impose broad capital requirements, even carefully designed stress scenarios add relatively little value. But when supervisors can intervene in targeted ways (by restricting specific exposures or by directing some banks to reduce risk), the design of stress scenarios becomes central to effective regulation. “Safe Assets but Fragile Markets” is inspired by the turmoil in the U.S. Treasury market during March 2020, when Treasuries unexpectedly experienced a “dash for cash.” The column shows how post-crisis regulations that constrained dealer balance sheets transformed the market structure for safe assets, making Treasury markets vulnerable to self-fulfilling runs. Ironically, the same flight-to-safety behavior that traditionally stabilizes markets can, in sufficiently fragile environments, trigger destabilizing fire sales instead.
News
May 9, 2026
2026 Best JMP Prize Winners
We are pleased to announce the recipients of the 2026 FTG Best Theory Job Market Paper Prize.Winner: Hanjoon...
April 14, 2026
2026 New Members
The FTG is pleased to welcome our new members:Alex Maciocco (UC Irvine → Indiana), Alexander Ober (Rice), Elu...
January 8, 2026
Announcing our 2026 FTG Fellows
The FTG is pleased to announce our 2026 Fellows: Lars Peter Hansen, Alessandro Pavan and Rick Green (in...