Upcoming FTG Events
12
Jun
3rd "Bridging Theory and Empirical Research in Finance" conference
From: June 12, 2026 - To: June 13, 2026
Boston College
The goal of this special FTG conference, hosted by Boston College, is to bridge theory and empirical research...
25
Sep
35th Meeting at Carnegie Mellon University (Fall 2026)
Featured Papers
Due diligence is common practice prior to the execution of large transactions. We propose a model of due diligence and analyze its effect on prices, payoffs, and deal completion. In our model, if the seller accepts an offer, the acquirer has the right to gather information and chooses when to...
We develop a dynamic model of platform economy where tokens serve as a means of payments among platform users and are issued to finance investment in platform productivity. Tokens are optimally issued to reward platform owners when the productivity-normalized token supply is low and burnt to boost the franchise value...
We find that a measure of aggregate corporate debt maturity choices strongly predicts real GDP growth. The new measure compares well with other strong GDP predictors from recent literature, is no less robust/stable, and distinct from spread-related variables. We develop a novel theory of firm debt maturity choice explaining these...
Finance Theory Insights
Finance Theory Insights
Issue 9
Unintended Equilibrium Consequences: Sometimes It’s a Whack-a-Mole Game
This issue of FTG Insights show that financial regulation and innovation often reshape incentives and constraints in ways that generate powerful equilibrium feedback effects. Specifically, mechanisms intended to promote stability, inclusion, or safety can improve outcomes along one dimension while simultaneously creating new vulnerabilities elsewhere in the financial system.
The first two columns explore how new financial frictions emerge when technology and regulation reshape the balance sheets of intermediaries. “When the Marketplace Becomes the Lender” examines the rapid rise of bigtech lending platforms, showing that their close integration with merchants’ marketplace activity gives them a powerful enforcement advantage over traditional banks. While this expands credit access for underserved borrowers, it also induces adverse selection in bank lending and can perversely lead banks to ration credit for intermediate-risk firms. “When Deposits Become a Burden” studies a parallel tension within the banking sector itself. Deposits are traditionally viewed as cheap and stable funding, yet when equity capital is scarce and leverage constraints bind, abundant deposits can become a liability rather than an asset. Banks may respond by cutting lending, hoarding safe assets, or reducing deposit rates, helping explain why deposit inflows during the pandemic coincided with weaker credit expansion. Together, these two columns highlight a broader lesson: financial innovations and regulatory constraints often generate unintended equilibrium effects, where mechanisms that improve access to funding in one dimension can tighten credit conditions in another.
The last two columns focus on how regulation and market design can produce unintended consequences in financial markets. “Are Stress Tests Actually Useful?” argues that the value of stress tests depends critically on what regulators plan to do with the information they reveal. If regulators can only impose broad capital requirements, even carefully designed stress scenarios add relatively little value. But when supervisors can intervene in targeted ways (by restricting specific exposures or by directing some banks to reduce risk), the design of stress scenarios becomes central to effective regulation. “Safe Assets but Fragile Markets” is inspired by the turmoil in the U.S. Treasury market during March 2020, when Treasuries unexpectedly experienced a “dash for cash.” The column shows how post-crisis regulations that constrained dealer balance sheets transformed the market structure for safe assets, making Treasury markets vulnerable to self-fulfilling runs. Ironically, the same flight-to-safety behavior that traditionally stabilizes markets can, in sufficiently fragile environments, trigger destabilizing fire sales instead.
News
May 9, 2026
2026 Best JMP Prize Winners
We are pleased to announce the recipients of the 2026 FTG Best Theory Job Market Paper Prize.Winner: Hanjoon...
April 14, 2026
2026 New Members
The FTG is pleased to welcome our new members:Alex Maciocco (UC Irvine → Indiana), Alexander Ober (Rice), Elu...
January 8, 2026
Announcing our 2026 FTG Fellows
The FTG is pleased to announce our 2026 Fellows: Lars Peter Hansen, Alessandro Pavan and Rick Green (in...