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Uploaded: Nov 15, 2022

Ing-Haw Cheng, Alice Hsiaw | Working Paper No. 00086-00

Bayesian Doublespeak

Why does misinformation persist, and how does it distort the long-run beliefs and actions of rational agents? Suppose receivers see an infinite stream of messages from a sender of unknown type who observes private signals about an unknown state of...

Uploaded: Nov 15, 2022

William Fuchs, Piero Gottardi, Humberto Moreira | Working Paper No. 00085-00

Time Trumps Quantity in the Market for Lemons

We consider a dynamic adverse selection model where privately informed sellers of divisible assets can choose how much of their asset to sell at each point in time to competitive buyers. With commitment, delay and lower quantities are equivalent ways to...

Uploaded: Nov 14, 2022

Chaojun Wang | Working Paper No. 00084-00

The Limits of Multi-Dealer Platforms

On many important multi-dealer platforms, customers mostly request quotes from very few dealers. I build a model of multi-dealer platforms where dealers strategically choose to respond or ignore a request. If the customer contacts more dealers, every dealer responds with...

Uploaded: Nov 14, 2022

Ing-Haw Cheng, Alice Hsiaw | Working Paper No. 00047-01

Trust in Signals and the Origins of Disagreement

Why do individuals interpret the same information differently? We propose that individuals follow Bayes' Rule when forming posteriors with one exception: when assessing the credibility of signal sources, they "double-dip" the data and use already updated beliefs instead of their priors. Individuals...

Published: Review of Financial Studies, 2025

Kose John, Thomas Rivera, Fahad Saleh | Working Paper No. 00075-01

Proof-of-Work versus Proof-of-Stake: A Comparative Economic Analysis

We develop an economic model to compare equilibrium security of Proof-of-Work (PoW) versus Proof-of-Stake (PoS) blockchains. We derive general conditions to determine when PoW blockchains are more secure than otherwise equivalent PoS blockchains and vice versa. Applying real-world parameter values...

Uploaded: Nov 1, 2022

Aydogan Alti, Jonathan Cohn | Working Paper No. 00083-00

A Model of Informed Intermediation in the Market for Going Public

We present a model in which informed experts intermediate in the market for going public by acquiring private firms and reselling their shares to public investors. Because information incorporated by the public market generates resale pricing risk for experts, the...