Markets for Price Risk

Feb 1, 2026

Working Paper No. 00200-00

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Financial derivatives, such as futures, options, and swaps, are not contracts on exogenous states of the world, as in Arrow (1964): their payoffs depend on the endogenous market prices of certain goods. How well do markets for price risk approximate the richer state-contingent contracts analyzed by Arrow? We solve analytically for equilibrium trades, asset prices, and welfare in price-linked derivative contract markets, illustrating the role that these derivatives play in risk sharing.


Anthony Lee Zhang

Anthony Lee Zhang

University of Chicago Booth School of Business