Stress Tests and Model Monoculture

Journal of Financial Economics, 2024

Keshav Dogra, Keeyoung Rhee

Working Paper No. 00218-00

We study whether regulators should reveal stress test results that contain imperfect information about banks' financial health. Although disclosure restores market confidence in banks, it misclassifies some healthy banks as risky. This encourages banks to choose portfolios deemed safe by regulators, leading to model monoculture and making the financial system less diversified. Under the ex-ante optimal disclosure policy, the regulator addresses this tradeoff by fully revealing stress test results when adverse selection is very severe or very mild, but never disclosing the results otherwise.


Keshav Dogra

Keshav Dogra

Keeyoung Rhee

Keeyoung Rhee

Sungkyunkwan University (SKKU)